02 June 17
In pulling out of the Paris climate deal, Trump showed America is a clear and present danger to civilization itself
id
everyone yell 'Fuck Trump!' today?" a friend emailed shortly after
hearing that the president intends to withdraw the U.S. from the Paris
climate agreement. The answer to my friend's question is: Yes, pretty
much. The disappointment and outrage at Trump's decision came from all
directions, from the prime minister of Fiji to Elon Musk. Even former President Obama, who has thus far kept his distance from the political fray, slammed Trump.
The response was particularly scathing from Europe.
Mary Robinson, the
former president of Ireland who has become an outspoken advocate for
climate change action, called the U.S. a "rogue state."
The outrage over Trump's move runs deep because
the Paris climate deal was never about just the climate. It was also
about unity, equality, trust, sympathy – in short, all the qualities
that make it possible for seven billion human beings to live together
peacefully on the planet. These ideals are the not-so-hidden subtext of
every word in the climate accord. They were also palpable in the air at
Le Bourget, the old airport on the outskirts of Paris where the climate
deal was hammered out in December of 2015.
The Paris deal was the result of years of frightfully
complex negotiations and political maneuvering. Believe me, you do not
know tedium until you've sat through a UN climate negotiation where a
room full of deputy assistant undersecretaries are arguing in bad
English over procedural footnotes to an addendum about agricultural
carbon sequestration credits.
But in Paris, it all came together. The deal that
finally emerged was a complex agreement, imperfect, full of nuance about
voluntary emissions targets and how rich nations would help finance
clean energy in poor nations. But the gist of the deal was that the
head of virtually every nation in the world vowed to reduce greenhouse
gases in the coming decades as to limit the warming of the climate to 2
degrees Celsius, the well-established threshold that might allow us to
escape the worst impacts of climate change.
On the final night of the talks in Paris, when
then-French President Francois Hollande slammed the gavel down, marking
formal acceptance of the accord, it was an emotional moment. The
cavernous general assembly room at Le Bourget was packed with people
from virtually every nation in the world, a sea of black and brown and
white faces, some dressed in business attire, some in ceremonial robes
and gowns.
Everyone cheered. A man standing next to me, a delegate
from the Maldives whom I had never spoken to, grabbed me and hugged me. His eyes were wet with tears.
On Thursday, Trump strolled out into the Rose Garden
and flipped his middle finger at the deal. Why? He claimed that the
cuts in emissions wouldn't matter, that the deal was unfair to the U.S.
because it would hurt the nation's economy while transferring wealth and
power to other nations ("I was elected to represent the citizens of Pittsburgh, not Paris," he said).
It was all transparently false. Far from hurting the economy, clean
energy is the economic engine of the future. Even the mayor of
Pittsburgh hit back at him on this, telling CNN,
"What [Trump] did was not only bad for the economy of this country, but
also weakened America in this world." As for the impact on the earth's
temperatures, if all the nations of the world fulfilled their
commitments, it wouldn't in itself reduce carbon pollution enough to
eliminate the risk of climate catastrophe, but it would be a damn good start.
Trump's real motivations for pulling out of the deal
are obvious: Mired in scandal and stalled with incompetency, this was an
easy way to look tough to his fossil-fuel-loving base. But the larger
truth is that Trump ditched Paris because it is a profound threat to his
greedy, isolationist America First vision of the world. In fact, the
climate accord may be the clearest articulation we have yet of an
anti-Trump ideology. The fundamental basis of the deal is global, not
nationalistic; it is not about grabbing all you can, but about
establishing basic rights of equity and fairness. It stipulates that
rich polluters owe something to the poor who suffer most (and will do so
increasingly) from the ravages of the West's 200-year-long fossil-fuel
party. Most of all, it says that we live on one planet, and if we screw
it up, we are all in trouble.
It will take four years before the U.S. can formally
exit the deal, but already the damage is done. Now what? Both China
and the European Union have reaffirmed commitments to the agreement.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel says her nation and others "will
combine our forces more resolutely than ever ... to address and tackle
big challenges for humanity such as climate change." She adds that "we
need this Paris agreement to preserve creation. Nothing can and will
stop us from doing so." In the U.S., states like California and New
York – which, combined, are the fourth largest economy in the world –
have already taken strong actions to cut carbon pollution, and are not
going to slow down now. Ditto with many cities and corporations like
Apple and Nike and Disney and General Electric. It could well be that
the backlash against Trump is so strong that it inspires more action,
and the U.S. more or less hits the goals it committed to in Paris
anyway.
But there's no question that when the world's biggest
carbon polluter pulls out of a deal to cut carbon pollution, it is
likely to have a corrosive effect on the ambition of other nations. "The
biggest obstacle to strong climate action has always been fear of
competitive disadvantage," Elliot Deringer, who tracks climate
negotiations closely at the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions,
told me in an email Thursday.
"Countries will only put forward their
best effort when they're confident others, especially their major
competitors, are too. That's the gist of Paris – strengthening
confidence that everyone's doing their part. When the world's largest
economy walks away, other countries, especially those whose economies
are closely tied to the U.S. or whose companies compete with U.S. firms,
will have a harder time being ambitious. They may be less zealous in
meeting their current targets and less ambitious in the next ones due in
2020. This won't reverse the strong momentum we built in Paris.
Countries will keep acting because they know it's in their interest.
But it will slow the momentum when what we need is to accelerate it."
Trump, of course, welcomes this. Standing in the Rose
Garden Thursday, he did the only thing he knows how to do: sow
instability, chaos and fear. He demonstrated to the world that America
has become not just a rogue state, but a clear and present danger to
civilization itself.
To this, there is only one sensible response: Fuck you, Mr. President.
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