Republican National Committee chairman Reince Priebus rallies volunteers at a Romney campaign office in Virginia. (photo: Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call/Getty Images)
08 August 13
Party begs for fewer primary debates, so candidates won't embarrass themselves on TV anymore. It will backfire.
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Priebus, the head of the Republican National Committee, has told NBC
and CNN that they will not be allowed to have any Republican
presidential debates in 2016 if they go ahead and air planned films
about Hillary Clinton, who will likely be the front-runner for the
Democratic presidential nomination. That is the reason he gave them, at
least, but it is not the actual reason Priebus wants to not have any
debates on those two channels. The real reason, everyone knows and sort
of acknowledges, is that debates were a disaster for the party in 2012,
an endless circus made up entirely of clowns on a national tour of
shame.
These debates were on TV, people watched (and mocked)
them, and the real candidates, the ones the money people were counting
on to win the stupid race, were forced to say unacceptable things to
appeal to raging loons. Furthermore, the serious candidates looked less
serious simply by sharing a stage with Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain.
So: Fewer debates, next time, is the plan, and these Hillary movies are a
convenient reason to cancel on two of the big networks. (Do you know
how I know that the Hillary Clinton movies aren't the real reason? Media Matters' David Brock would also like the networks to cancel these movies, because, let's be honest, they probably won't be entirely flattering.)
The entire Republican primary system is broken, and
embarrassing debates really number among the least of their problems,
but it is easier for Priebus to preemptively cancel embarrassing debates
than it is for him to fundamentally alter the makeup of the Republican
primary electorate, a small and largely angry group who demand
ideological fealty to a political philosophy that most Americans abhor.
Unfortunately for Priebus, threatening to cancel debates is going to be
much easier than actually preventing them from happening.
Maybe one of the Republican Party's primary
malfunctions these days is that the interests of the party as a whole
are frequently in opposition to the interests of individual Republican
politicians. Preibus wants there to be fewer debates, because the
debates are hugely embarrassing to the party and damaging to the
eventual nominee. The candidates, though, need the debates, because
there is nothing so precious as free airtime, and saying stupid things
on television and then losing elections is a surprisingly lucrative
career move these days. The debate problem is like the Ted Cruz problem:
He acts against the long-term best interests of his party because in
the shorter term, being an ultra-conservative is likely to make him rich
and beloved. When 2015 rolls around a half-dozen would-be presidents
and tryouts for the conservative speaking circuit are going to want free
airtime, and the networks will happily provide it. The only question is
whether the eventual "serious" nominee, if that's Jeb Bush or Chris
Christie, is going to join them or not.
Cruz may well be among those jokers, along with Marco
Rubio, Rand Paul, Scott Walker, Peter King, Rick Perry and various other
figures adored by "the base" but sort of terrifying and confusing to
everyone else. These guys are going to go on television if they are
given the opportunity to go on television. You either finish your
presidential campaign as the president or as a person who isn't the
president but who is much more famous than before, and conservative
movement fame means well-compensated positions at nonprofits or think
tanks, speeches, maybe even television or radio jobs. Mike Huckabee is
doing so well for himself he couldn't be bothered to run in 2012, and he
would've probably beaten Mitt if he had.
So boycotting NBC and CNN isn't going to prevent
another string of embarrassing debates from happening. But it may still
be useful. Priebus wants to avoid those two channels in part because
they're hostile to conservatives, and the moderators they select will
likely actively seek to embarrass the candidates. Republicans are still
mad that in 2007, NBC allowed Chris Matthews to co-moderate a Republican
debate. They sort of have a point - he's a shouty Democrat, and likely
had no respect for the people onstage - but the problem isn't liberal
bias, it's "nonpartisan" journalist idiocy.
Nonpartisan television news
personalities are generally ill-informed about policy and hostile to
politics in general. Bob Schieffer was utterly useless as a debate
moderator. Partisan journalists are, by and large, more engaged with the
issues and much more likely to ask interesting questions. There's
really no reason why conservative journalists shouldn't be moderating,
or at least co-moderating, Republican debates. Byron York and Rich Lowry
would do a fine job.
If there are going to be another hundred primary
debates, and there probably will be, the party would most likely prefer
most of them to be on Fox. And that'd be fine: The candidates will be
trying to appeal to Fox's audience for votes, after all. And liberals
ought to be fine with it too, because the candidates will be just as
likely, or maybe even more likely, to say dumb and embarrassing things
on Fox as they would be on CNN or NBC. So boycott away, Reince Priebus.
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