Fukushima power plant. (photo: unknown)
14 August 13
lmost
two and a half years after the nuclear meltdowns at Fukushima, the head
of Japan's Nuclear Regulatory Authority (NRA) raised concern on August 5
about the continued flow of radioactive water from the plant going into
the Pacific Ocean, telling Reuters, "Right now we have a state of
emergency."
Shinji Kinjo, head of the NRA task force, was
following the apparent script for the current performance of the
familiar kabuki theatre of nuclear power agencies everywhere, the
stylized dance of suggesting meaning without actually clarifying it.
Kinjo heads a task force set up after the March 2011 Fukushima
meltdowns, a body with no authority to do anything, which was put in
place by the NRA, the nuclear regulator that doesn't really regulate.
"Right now we have a state of emergency,"
said Kinjo, allowing one to think perhaps there had not been any state
of emergency since the meltdowns.
"Right now we have a state of emergency,"
said Kinjo, three days after the most recent task force meeting, during
which time there were no significant new developments at Fukushima,
although the task force concluded that new measures were needed to stop
the radioactive pollution.
"Right now we have a state of emergency," said Kinjo, as he proposed absolutely no immediate emergency responses.
Or, as Masayuki Ono, TEPCO's general manager told a
press conference the following day: "We understand that this discharge
is beyond our control and we do not think the current situation is
good."
At What Point Does a Constant Condition with Varying Intensity Become an Emergency?
Kinjo's oddly-timed declaration of an "emergency" -
radioactive water flowing into the Pacific - raises more questions about
the task force's assessment of reality than about the obvious
seriousness of an obvious danger that was well known to anyone paying
much attention to the 29-month disaster at Fukushima, which has no end
in sight. The declaration of an emergency actually serves as a
distraction of the actual, ongoing emergency.
All of that is just the way political kabuki is
supposed to work: impress the audience with the intensity of official
concern, deflect attention to some "emergency" that is really just more
of the same, make credible-sounding promises that won't make much
difference even if they are implemented in some unspecified future. (As
of August 6, the Japanese government was considering including $300
million or more in its 2014 budget request to pay for controlling the
radioactive water flow.)
That would be a possible $300 million for an unknown
remedy - since TEPCO, the government, and the NRA have all indicated
they have no idea what to do, even though they heartily agree that they
should do something.
But the Nuclear Regulatory Authority is in charge of
nuclear power development in Japan, isn't it? Well, yes, in the same
sense that the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (and its predecessor
the Atomic Energy Commission) has been in charge of promoting nuclear
power development in the United States.
What Would Meaningful Regulation of the Nuclear Industry Look Like?
If nuclear regulation were meaningful, would Japan's
NRA have allowed the Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) to locate
Fukushima Daiichi (Number One, with four reactors) and Fukushima Daini
(Number Two, with two reactors) in a seismic region where they would be
vulnerable to earthquakes?
If nuclear regulation were meaningful, would the NRA
have allowed TEPCO to locate six reactors close enough to the Pacific
Ocean to be vulnerable to tsunamis, even if they were on a bluff about
115 feet above sea level and the design basis for tsunamis was about 16
feet?
If nuclear regulation were meaningful, would the NRA
have allowed TEPCO to lower the bluff to about 33 feet above sea level,
in order to build on bedrock to reduce the vulnerability to earthquakes,
while increasing the vulnerability to tsunamis, and at the same time
bringing the reactors about 80 feet closer to the natural aquifer
beneath them?
If nuclear regulation were meaningful, would the NRA
have allowed TEPCO to double down and add two more reactors in a heavily
populated area where none of the risks had been effectively mitigated?
To be fair, Fukushima Number Two was only slightly
damaged, and its pair of reactors remain out of service, but at least
they didn't melt down. A generous scorekeeper might find that the NRA
was batting .500, with only three meltdowns out of six reactors.
Some Leaks Threaten Global Security, Not Just Corporate Security
Logic, hydraulics, the laws of physics, workers at the
Fukushima nuclear power plant, and now the Japanese government all
support the conclusion that radioactive water has been running into the
Pacific Ocean at a varying rate, but continuously since March 11, 2011.
TEPCO did not admit this until July 23, while at the same time claiming
that the impact would be limited, even while acknowledging it had no
explanation for the increase in radiation levels and no way to control
them.
Making the Fukushima disaster more uncertain - no one,
not TEPCO, not the government, not the NRA or its task force, not
environmental organizations - no one has maintained continuous,
comprehensive measurement of radioactivity at or escaping from the site.
The agencies responsible for protecting the public don't know what the
danger is in part because they have made no good faith effort to measure
it. And the public knows even less because some of the information is
kept secret, despite the public's right to know as codified in
international law as well as the statutes of the European Community,
China, and Japan.
More than 60 different sources of radiation have been
detected at Fukushima, most notably Tritium, Cesium, and Strontium.
Radioactive materials release radiation in several basic forms: alpha or
beta particles, gamma rays, x-rays, or neutrons. TEPCO's measuring has
reportedly focused on gamma-rays, with erratic or no attention to other
forms of radiation. On July 30, the NRA announced that, because it
questioned the accuracy of TEPCO measurements, the NRA would join
measuring radiation diffusion from the plant.
Fukushima May Not Be a Global Problem Yet: That Takes Time
The spread of radiation from Fukushima has been
continuous, though the rate of release has most likely varied
significantly. No one really knows, and the authorities have not told
all they know. And they have not tried to know as much as they could. If
you don't want to tell the truth, it's very helpful not to know the
truth.
Accurate information could serve to mitigate the
damage from Fukushima, but accurate information might also be evidence
of the culpability - moral and especially legal - of those in charge.
That gives them a strong incentive to know as little as possible, even
when the common good requires knowing as much as possible.
Failing to tell the truth, even to themselves, the
authorities find themselves dancing across a dreamscape where, even if
they happen to discover something useful, they are not likely to be able
to recognize it.
Making it worse, the authorities suppress the truth
that might be told by others - TEPCO by threat, the government by
silence and non-intervention. The Australian Broadcasting Corporation
(ABC) interviewed a 56-year-old Fukushima decontamination worker who
works 12-hour shifts at $10 an hour. The August 12 report adds that the
worker "says he has to hide his real job from his two young grandsons
for fears they would shun him if they knew."
According to ABC, the worker said that if TEPCO found
out he had talked to a reporter, he would suffer: "I'd be fired for
sure. Speaking out is an act of suicide."
Without Water, the Meltdowns Would Re-start, with Endless Consequences
The reality is that conditions at Fukushima have been
out of control since March 2011. Even the Global Travel Industry News is
alarmed, noting the sharp rise in thyroid cancer around Fukushima as
part of a story with the headline "Nuclear-contaminated Pacific Ocean
may become a global threat." Conditions at Fukushima will remain out of
control for a long time because the situation is untenable:
- TEPCO must continue pumping water into the fuel pool and melted cores to keep them from over-heating, going into chain reaction, and spewing more radioactive debris.
- The water cooling the cores becomes radioactive and continues to flow toward the sea along unknown paths at unknown rates.
- Groundwater flowing downhill into the site gets irradiated and continues on to the sea.
- Recent intense rains have added to the groundwater and raised the underlying aquifer, adding to the irradiated water flow.
- TEPCO is pumping irradiated water into 1,000 or more holding tanks, most of which are already full and some of which are already leaking. They are all considered unreliable in the long term, however long that might be.
- TEPCO has installed an underground dam to prevent groundwater from reaching the sea, but water has already flowed over and around that dam.
- TEPCO has attempted trenching and damming efforts to keep water from flowing into the site, but with very limited success.
- This is typhoon season in Japan.
Lori Mochizuki of Fukushima-diary.com
reported on August 12 that Tepco's spokesman stated at a press
conference: "In case of a severe rain fall, if the groundwater increases
more than the capacity of pump, we cannot do anything."
"The plant and the entire world are completely defenseless," Mochizuki wrote.
"This is the reality that no one reports."
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