I’ve spent a great deal of time trying to develop a way to understand
exactly what is happening. At times I’m remarkably calm about things;
at other times, I think we’re in the opening scene of a post-apocalyptic
movie where the world is falling apart and society is desperately
trying to maintain order and stability but to no avail.
Yesterday morning I finally hit the nail on the head and realized the following (which is from my Facebook feed):
I got the idea from a governor Cuomo press conference (God bless that
man, BTW). He noted that we will get through this but that it will
forever be with us — we’ll look back in 10 years and say, “I was doing
“X” during the pandemic.”
This statement implies that this is a
world-defining event much like WWII or (I hate to say it) the Great
Depression. It’s something that will change, well, everything.
Here are some of the things that are going to fundamentally change.
A big return of Keynesian economics. Almost overnight, Republicans
ditched their austerity mantra and quickly voted for a $2 trillion
stimulus. There was no talk of “we need to balance the budget;” instead
there was talk about keeping people whole.
A return to government expertise. Watching Dr. Fauci and other
experts during this crisis has been very comforting because they tell
the truth (which stands in stark contrast to Trump). Polls show that
the public trusts them. Once this is over, expect the public to become a
lot more comfortable with expertise.
A rise of teleworking: Modern technology allows people to work
remotely. I’ve observed there’s a clear generational divide regarding
this idea: old people dislike it, younger people are all over it. Once
this is over, expect this idea to become part of the modern workforce.
A huge rise in automation. One of the big problems with
manufacturing in the current crisis is that large groups of people have
to be in close proximity, which prevents social distancing. Expect
factories to adopt automation at a faster pace to ramp-up production as
this thing comes to an end. And this will lead to …
A future discussion and eventual adoption of Universal Basic
Income: I’m behind in understanding the specifics of this concept, but I
understand the basic idea, which is pure Keynesian in concept. Expect
this to become a commonly expressed idea.
A complete rethinking of the US health care system. Watching this
disaster unfold one thing has become very clear: the healthcare system
has to change in a big way. I have no idea what it will look like. But
it’s going to change.
This is what I see. Please add your comments below as to the changes
you think are coming because I certainly don’t have a monopoly on
observations.
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