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Monday, March 5, 2018

Trump jokes about Chinese leader making himself 'president for life': 'Maybe we'll give that a shot'



US President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump step off Air Force One upon arrival at Rome's Fiumicino Airport on May 23, 2017. Donald Trump arrived in Rome for a high-profile meeting with Pope Francis in what was his first official trip to Europe since becoming US President. / AFP PHOTO / Filippo MONTEFORTE        (Photo credit should read FILIPPO MONTEFORTE/AFP/Getty Images)
How 'bout we don't.
Angry bag of squirrels Donald Trump was, as usual, at Mar-a-Lago this weekend, this time to give a political speech. The constant flights to Florida each weekend is making even professional journalists punchy, as evinced by the pool reporter's take:

A reminder that Mar-a-Lago is Trump’s private, for-profit resort with a six-figure initiation fee. Tonight it is hosting an RNC fundraiser, the rental fees from which will profit the president personally. The fundraiser at this writing remains closed press.
It remains odd that we all know this blatant grift is happening, but the entire Republican Party from Rep. Paul Ryan on down are absolutely insistent that nothing be done about it.

While Trump's fundraising weekend was closed to the press, he was apparently in fine form, complaining yet again that his own government isn't investigating past election opponent Hillary Clinton enough while expressing jovial admiration for, again, authoritarian-minded world leaders.

In the closed-door remarks, a recording of which was obtained by CNN, Trump also praised China's President Xi Jinping for recently consolidating power and extending his potential tenure, musing he wouldn't mind making such a maneuver himself.
"He's now president for life. President for life. No, he's great," Trump said. "And look, he was able to do that. I think it's great. Maybe we'll have to give that a shot some day."
This is another one of those "jokes" that most presidents wisely refrain from telling, what with the mood of the country having been on edge about such things since George Washington himself entered the office.

More to the point, Donald Trump continues his habit of speaking admirably for the world's autocrats when they do autocratic things. He "jokes" about the Chinese President taking the Putinesque approach of installing himself as unremovable, permanent leader of his country; he explicitly praises Philippines leader Rodrigo Duterte for Duterte's campaign of extrajudicial killings of suspected drug dealers and users, while pushing inside the White House for the American government to duplicate those polices through expansive use of the death penalty; he praises Turkish leader Erdogan as Erdogan curtails press and political rights in his country; his admiration of "strong" Russian leader Putin is seemingly unremitting.

Trump is not a man known for having a keen grasp of the world. It's not likely he could find most countries on a map, if he has not explicitly attempted to do business there; he is forever forgetful of his own policy positions and is seemingly completely unable to grasp the details of Republican bills even as he advocates for them. But authoritarian leaders taking steps to curb freedom in their nations—now that reliably gets his attention, and his praise. 

That, for some reason, punctures his narcissistic bubble and lodges itself inside his brain.

Sunday, March 4, 2018

Why are The Stoneman Douglas Students So Good At This? Their School Actually Educated Them.



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Slate Magazine reminds us of what we have lost allowing Republicans to destroy a good old-fashioned 1950’s style education.
“The students of Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School returned to class Wednesdaymorning two weeks and moral centuries after a tragic mass shooting ended the lives of 17 classmates and teachers. Sen. Marco Rubio marked their return by scolding them for being “infected” with “arrogance” and “boasting.” The Florida legislature marked their return by enacting a $67 million program to arm school staff, including teachers, over the objections of students and parents. Senate Republicans on Capitol Hill opted to welcome them back by ignoring their wishes on gun control, which might lead a cynic to believe that nothing has changed in America after yet another horrifying cycle of child murder and legislative apathy.
But that is incorrect. Consumers and businesses are stepping in where the government has cowered. Boycotts may not influence lawmakers, but they certainly seem to be changing the game in the business world. And the students of Parkland, Florida, unbothered by the games played by legislators and lobbyists, are still planning a massive march on Washington. These teens have—by most objective measures—used social media to change the conversation around guns and gun control in America.
Now it’s time for them to change the conversation around education in America, and not just as it relates to guns in the classroom. The effectiveness of these poised, articulate, well-informed, and seemingly preternaturally mature student leaders of Stoneman Douglas has been vaguely attributed to very specific personalities and talents. Indeed, their words and actions have been so staggeringly powerful, they ended up fueling laughable claims about crisis actors, coaching, and fat checks from George Soros. But there is a more fundamental lesson to be learned in the events of this tragedy: These kids aren’t freaks of nature. Their eloquence and poise also represent the absolute vindication of the extracurricular education they receive at Marjory Stoneman Douglas.
Despite the gradual erosion of the arts and physical education in America’s public schools, the students of Stoneman Douglas have been the beneficiaries of the kind of 1950s-style public education that has all but vanished in America and that is being dismantled with great deliberation as funding for things like the arts, civics, and enrichment are zeroed out. In no small part because the school is more affluent than its counterparts across the country (fewer than 23 percent of its students received free or reduced-price lunches in 2015–16, compared to about 64 percent across Broward County Public Schools) these kids have managed to score the kind of extracurricular education we’ve been eviscerating for decades in the United States. These kids aren’t prodigiously gifted. They’ve just had the gift of the kind of education we no longer value.”
Of course that is not to say there aren’t amazing students all over the United States, or other amazing schools.

But if you had wondered why this particular school has produced so many talented and articulate activists, the Slate Magazine Article has some answers.

A Trade War Helped Cause the Great Depression

Former Clinton labor secretary Robert Reich. (photo: Steve Russell/Toronto Star)
Former Clinton labor secretary Robert Reich. (photo: Steve Russell/Toronto Star)

By Robert Reich, Robert Reich's Facebook Page
 
rump this morning: “When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country it does business with, trade wars are good, and easy to win. Example, when we are down $100 billion with a certain country and they get cute, don’t trade anymore-we win big. It’s easy!”

People, this is totally bonkers. Trade wars are lose-lose propositions. The Smoot-Hawley Tariff of 1930 resulted in a trade war that helped plunge the world into the Great Depression.

And Trump’s “easy to win” remedy of ending trade with countries that run trade deficits with us can’t possibly result in a big win for us, because American consumers would end up paying far more.

Someone should also remind Trump that trade deficits aren’t necessarily bad even if foreigners end up holding lots of dollars, since we’re the ones who create dollars in the first place.

China raises a special set of problems, but those problems won’t be rectified by starting a trade war with a nation on which so much of our exports, especially agricultural products, depend.

Saturday, March 3, 2018

Through the Looking Glass, a House of Horrors

President Donald Trump spoke with lawmakers at the White House on the topic of gun control. (photo: Carolyn Kaster/AP)
President Donald Trump spoke with lawmakers at the White House on the topic of gun control. (photo: Carolyn Kaster/AP)

By Mort Rosenblum, Reader Supported News
01 March 18

If we can't do better than a draft-dodger president with hero fantasies, we should probably start learning Chinese.  
 
hile America's uncouth and unclothed emperor-wannabe fantasized about how he would rush unarmed at a homicidal shooter, China placed imperial robes on Xi Jinping. He is now the world's de facto chairman-for-life.

Vladimir Putin, meantime, flips America the finger. He is helping Bashar al-Assad rain death on women and children. Pleased to see useful idiots in the White House and Congress, he doubles down on skewing elections.

North Korea, undeterred by empty threats, is shipping chemical-weapon components to Syria, U.N. investigators report. For other crises percolating toward long-term calamity, spin a globe and point pretty much anywhere.

Hans Christian Anderson's beloved tale, “The Emperor Has No Clothes,” seems apt for the moment. But more, think Lewis Carroll. America today is loonier than anything he imagined down Alice's rabbit hole.

As the nation recoils in shock from the Florida school massacre, a tone-deaf Donald Trump dined with the devil. He emerged from lunch with NRA leaders to tell us not to worry: “They are on our side.”

You can't make this shit up.

Jared Kushner, Trump's point man on vital foreign affairs, lost his top-secret clearance. He posed with Benjamin Netanyahu, saying America has never been so close to Israel, as the hard-line prime minister is charged with massive corruption.

Donald, Jr., flits about the world cutting shady deals to shore up the family's holdings. Robert Mueller's bloodhounds sniff outside the Oval Office. Rather than help them seek truth, Trump's response is, “No collusion.” It is all about him.

Hope Hicks resigned as communications director after saying she told white lies for the president. Stephen Colbert jumped on that: “Telling lies to white people is what got Trump elected.” Now, he added, the administration is truly hopeless.

The list is long, but China towers above it all.  I am no expert on the opaque Middle Kingdom, and neither is anyone with clout in the Trump Administration. I listen to colleagues who have covered Beijing over the decades.

James Pringle, for instance, says nothing can now stop Xi's control of the South China Sea through which $5 trillion in trade transit each year. He sees in Xi a better-packaged Mao Zedong, and he fears a more sophisticated resurgence of the dreaded Red Guards.

Mao could sound reasonable. Remember, “Let a hundred flowers bloom, let a hundred schools of thought contend”? Or, “Women hold up half the sky”? But don't forget the big one: “Political power comes out of the barrel of the gun.”

“'Emperor' Xi must be laughing up his sleeve,” Pringle wrote to friends. “He has said what he will do, but people don't want to believe him…Islands to the south of China will all belong to Xi and his cronies and, before we know it, American ships will not be allowed to get past on danger of attack. One waits to see what the Japanese will do.  It will come slowly but the kindling for a new war is there. Probably Japan is on the way to nuclear weapons.”

In 1971, Pringle replaced a Reuters correspondent who spent more than two years under house arrest. “During the height of the Cultural Revolution,” he wrote in a 2009 New York Times op-ed, “Red Guards had broken into his home, pinioned his arms behind him, and strangled his pet kitten inches from his eyes.”

During the 1989 uprising at Tiananmen Square, Pringle found Deng Xiaoping eager to let the world know what to expect from violent protests.

“Deng said that to get rich was glorious,” he wrote. “But what happens when dreams of wealth stagnate? For a Communist Party that brought China the famine of the Great Leap Forward, the chaos of the Cultural Revolution and the brutal suppression of 1989, providing a decent life for the ordinary people of China has become essential. Without it, a regime that has so often discredited itself will lose the mandate of heaven.”

Xi has taken China out of poverty. Big time. Everyone on the Forbes 400 for China is a billionaire. A real estate magnate is worth $42.5 billion, and Jack Ma of Alibaba is closing in fast. Life is hard at the bottom, but enough wealth trickles down to mollify the masses. Expect no revolution.

China is working on a hypersonic jet that reaches Mach 7 — 5,371 miles an hour. That could carry passengers, or worse, from Beijing to New York in two hours.  It pushes every area, from artificial intelligence to the ocean floor to deep space.

Despite all of China's advances, Pringle told me in an email, echoes from the past are unmistakable. Xi is now called Lingxiu — Leader — an honorific not used since Mao. His portrait is displayed in Beijing where Mao's used to be.

“Unbelievably,” he concluded, “it is all starting again, not just about to start — but already started.”

Meanwhile, back in America, a sizeable percentage of voters seem not to notice, or care, and believe that plainly observable facts are propaganda to discredit America's greatest president since Lincoln, who is already running for reelection.

Two weeks after the Parkland massacre, newscasts focus on little else. Trump's 2016 campaign received more than $30 million from the NRA. His hardcore resists even minimum age limits for buying weapons of mass murder.

And so Trump reminisces aloud about the good old days when if you thought someone might be a deranged threat to society you just lock him away in a mental

institution. If he read, he would recognize that as a favorite ploy in the Soviet Union.

Our American rabbit hole is eerie beyond description. But small vignettes suggest how badly our society is now skewed.

The other day at Walgreens, I asked a cashier about large warning signs over the cigarette rack. Anyone under 40 is asked for ID. If he sells to anyone under 18, he told me, the store is heavily fined; he is fired and might even end up in prison.

He wouldn't go to jail. But he was scared, nonetheless. A state bill raising the age limit to 21 — even for e-cigarettes, failed last year, but some towns have done that on their own. Tobacco kills. It is far easier to buy a military-grade arsenal.

Obsessed with ourselves, we ignore real danger until it looms into our line of sight.

Then we can only adapt to fait accompli. If we can't do better than a draft-dodger president with hero fantasies, we should probably start learning Chinese.



Mort Rosenblum has reported from seven continents as Associated Press special correspondent, edited the International Herald Tribune in Paris, and written 14 books on subjects ranging from global geopolitics to chocolate. He now runs MortReport.org.

Friday, March 2, 2018

Congress' Net Worth Keeps On Growing Even as Average Americans Get Poorer

Paul Ryan and the House Republicans. (photo: Getty)
Paul Ryan and the House Republicans. (photo: Getty)

By David Hawkings, The Portland Press Herald
02 March 18

The total wealth of all current members was at least $2.43 billion when the 115th Congress began, 20 percent more than that of the previous Congress.


he people’s representatives just keep getting richer, and doing so faster than the people represented.

The cumulative net worth of senators and House members jumped by one-fifth in the two years before the start of this Congress, outperforming the typical American’s improved fortunes as well as the solid performance of investment markets during that time.

The disparity becomes clear after examining the most recent financial disclosures of virtually every current lawmaker. The news is not likely to do them any good during a midterm campaign year when disapproval of Capitol Hill remains in record territory and sentiment remains strong that politicians in Washington are far too disconnected from the lives of their constituents.

The total wealth of all current members was at least $2.43 billion when the 115th Congress began, 20 percent more than the collective riches of the previous Congress, a significant gain during a period when both the Dow Jones industrial average and Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose slightly less than 10 percent.

Beyond that grand total, the median minimum net worth (meaning half are worth more, half less) of today’s senators and House members was $511,000 at the start of this Congress, an upward push of 16 percent over just two years – and quintuple the median net worth of an American household, which the Federal Reserve pegged at $97,300 in 2016.

The financial disparity between those who try to govern and those who are governed is almost certainly even greater than that.

Members of Congress are not required to make public the value of their residences and their contents, which are the principal assets of most Americans. Nor are they required to reveal their other assets and debts to the penny, or even close – instead using 11 broad categories of value (starting at less than $1,000 and topping out at $50 million or more) that do a comprehensive job of obscuring what each member is precisely worth. Erring on the conservative side, Roll Call estimates each member’s wealth by subtracting the minimum reported value of all immediate family liabilities from the minimum reported value of all assets.

Notwithstanding the limits of the annual (and minimally policed) disclosure rules, it’s clear the Capitol remains as populated as ever with a disproportionate share of very well-heeled.

For every 13 members, in fact, one may fairly be dubbed a “1 percenter,” the term of derision imposed by liberal groups on the richest 1 percent of Americans. Data from the Fed pegged the net worth threshold for these people at $10.4 million in 2016, a mark exceeded by 26 Republicans and 17 Democrats.

At the high end of that group are 10 House members and three senators worth more than $43 million, which the Fed calculates as the richest one-tenth of 1 percent of the population.

These lawmakers, plus seven others with a minimum net worth above $7.5 million, make the most recent roster of the 50 richest members of Congress, which Roll Call has been compiling since 1990.

Below this rung of the phenomenally prosperous is a thicker belt of the merely flush – the 153 House members (13 more than in the previous Congress) and 50 senators who are millionaires, at least on paper. This stands in contrast to the 7.4 percent of U.S. households that had amassed a net worth above $1 million in 2016, their home values included, according to the Spectrem Group investment research firm.

And in the middle are the “typical” members, with senators boasting a significantly better median net worth ($1.4 million for Republicans, $946,000 for Democrats) than House members, where the median figure for both caucuses is just north of $400,000.

A very similar figure, $397,000, is the minimum net worth disclosed on the essentially identical form for 2016 filled out by Vice President Mike Pence, who spent a dozen years as a House member from Indiana.

President Trump’s most recent form, however, describes a chief executive far richer than anyone in the legislative branch – worth at least $1.1 billion at the time of his election.

As in the past, the ranks of the congressional 50 richest are studded with some of the Hill’s most influential players: Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi of California, for starters, plus the Republican chairmen of eight congressional committees along with the ranking Democrats on four panels. And 10 of the 50 richest, six of them majority Republicans, sit on House Ways and Means or Senate Finance, the committees in charge of drafting the package of tax cuts and tax code changes that were enacted at the end of last year and targeted to benefit the richest Americans most of all.

(The effects of that tax bill on members’ balance sheets won’t get hinted at until their disclosures for this year are made public, which won’t happen before the middle of next year.)

One thing that’s different about the current 50 richest list is how much of it is guaranteed to change in 2019. Not only will the freshman class elected in November surely include some very wealthy people, but also nine of the richest current members have decided they are not staying in Congress beyond this fall.

Underscoring how much wealth is concentrated in a tiny pinnacle of the population, in Congress as well as the country, these voluntary departures include four of the six richest members, all from the House, whose immense fortunes combine for an astonishing one-quarter of the entire net worth of Congress.

Republican Darrell Issa, whose Viper car alarm business has made him the richest member of Congress throughout the decade (a net worth of at least $283 million in 2016), says he’s not running for a 10th term in Southern California; Democrat Jared Polis, who sold an online greeting card businesses and then made a killing in other internet startups, is running for governor of Colorado; Dave Trott of Michigan, who created a behemoth in the home foreclosure industry, is leaving after Republican moderate in an ultra-conservative caucus; and venture capitalist John Delaney is giving up his Maryland seat to ready a long-shot bid for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.

All four are self-made, which is the most typical route for joining the 50 richest. Almost three-fifths of them (22 Republicans and seven Democrats) are multimillionaires, thanks to their own business acumen, in a wide array of industries including software development, banking, telecommunications, health care, insurance, real estate, litigation, plastics and car dealerships.

Three Republicans and nine Democrats, five women and seven men, mainly have spouses to thank for their impressive wealth. Most prominent among them are McConnell (Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao’s parents were big-time Chinese goods importers), Pelosi (Paul Pelosi owns a real estate and venture capital investment firm) and Republican Sen. John McCain (Cindy McCain now has a controlling interest in her father’s beer and soda distributor, the biggest in Arizona).

Just nine lawmakers made the list principally because of inherited money. That roster is about half the size of a dozen years before, not so much because trust funders have fled Congress but because much of their wealth is now exceeded by that of new money entrepreneurs.

The most newly prominent member on the list is Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy III of Massachusetts, who gave the Democratic response to the State of the Union address in January.

Cartoon: Semi-automatic excuses

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Thursday, March 1, 2018

Trumpcare: Government Will Spend $33 Billion More to Cover 8.9 Million Fewer Americans, as Premiums Soar

Donald Trump. (photo: Getty)
Donald Trump. (photo: Getty)

By Michael Hiltzik, Los Angeles Times
01 March 18
 
hose fiscal geniuses in the White House and Republican-controlled Congress have managed to do the impossible: Their sabotage of the Affordable Care Act will lead to 6.4 million fewer Americans with health insurance, while the federal bill for coverage rises by some $33 billion per year.

Also, by the way, premiums in the individual market will rise by an average of more than 18%.

Heck of a job.

These figures come from the Urban Institute, which on Monday released the first estimate of the impact of two GOP initiatives. The first is the elimination of the individual mandate, which is an offshoot of the GOP tax-cut measure signed by President Trump in December. The measure reduced the penalty for not carrying insurance to zero as of next Jan. 1.

The second is Trump's plan to expand short-term insurance plans, which don't comply with many of the ACA's essential benefits requirements and allow insurers to reject or surcharge people with preexisting medical conditions or histories.

The Urban Institute broke down the impact of Trump and Republican policies thusly:

-- Eliminating the individual mandate, combined with such lesser acts of vandalism as eliminating cost-sharing reduction payments to insurers last year and eviscerating the outreach and advertising budget for the 2017 ACA open enrollment period: 6.4 million more people uninsured than under previous law, as the uninsurance rate climbs to 12.5% of the nonelderly population from 10.2%.

-- Expansion of short-term non-compliant policies: 2.5 million more Americans without minimum essential coverage. Short-term policies, which were limited under the Obama administration to three months maximum and no renewals, would be expanded under Trump to last up to a year. Under the law, short-term policies don't count as real Obamacare insurance.

-- Premiums in the individual market: Higher by 18.2% in 2019 in "full-impact states" (41, plus the District of Columbia, which allow short-term policies under some circumstances.) Eight other states prohibit or limit the expansion of short-term policies, so their premium increases will be lower on average. Nationwide, premiums will rise by 16.4%. In Texas, North Dakota, Alabama, Nebraska and Arizona, the increases will exceed 20%.

-- Because government premium subsidies rise in tandem with premium increases, the cost of subsidies borne by the government will rise by $33.3 billion next year, or 9.3% — to $391.4 billion from $358.1 billion under existing law.

The mechanism by which the GOP policies will crater the individual insurance market isn't hard to understand. Both major initiatives — eliminating the individual mandate and offering bare-bones policies — siphon younger, healthier consumers out of the individual market.

David Anderson, a health insurance expert at Duke University, understands why short-term policies will look like a good deal to young consumers feeling hale and hearty. Others, such as with preexisting conditions, won't even be eligible to buy those plans, guaranteeing that higher-risk patients stay in the ACA pool. Anderson posits a 23-year-old earning $35,000. That consumer would think a full-scale Obamacare plan is a good deal only if he or she has "a significant medical history or reasonable probability of pregnancy."

The economically rational response for the healthy in that segment would be to pay $100 or less a month in premiums and barely use any services over the course of the year. The danger, of course, is that anyone can get hit by a bus or find themselves holding an unexpected cancer diagnoses. Then they're screwed.

"Those affected by these large premium increases would be disproportionately middle-income people with health problems," the Urban Institute researchers said. That's because "they prefer health insurance that covers essential health benefits, are unlikely to have access to medically underwritten short-term limited-duration policies, and are not financially protected by the ACA's premium tax credits."

Millions of others, including the U.S. taxpayer and families who need treatment and have incomes too high to be subsidized, also are screwed. That includes families with household incomes approaching or exceeding 400% of the federal poverty line: $48,560 for an individual and $100,400 for a family of four.

The damage estimate can't be restricted to the immediate impact on individuals and families, the researchers observed. "As healthier enrollees exit for short-term plans, insurers will by necessity reexamine the profitability of remaining in the compliant markets. This may well lead to more insurer exits from the compliant markets in the next years, reducing choice for the people remaining and ultimately making the markets difficult to maintain."

In other words, the Republican sabotage will continue to undermine health coverage in the U.S. The only alternative, it becomes clearer with every day, is some form of single-payer, Medicare-for-all coverage. That's increasingly becoming part of Democratic Party orthodoxy, and it's about time.